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AI Perpetual Futures Platform Mark Price Bias Under Volatility Playbook

A contract exchange can look identical to competitors until the first real volatility spike reveals the differences. Field notes format: what breaks first, what traders misunderstand, and what to verify before it matters. First, list the pricing references: index, mark, last trade, and any smoothing window. Then locate which reference drives margin checks. Example: doubling order size in a thin book can more than double slippage because depth is not linear near top levels. When risk limits are tiered, confirm how tiers are computed and updated. Silent tier changes can invalidate backtests. Signal to watch: when volatility rises, the system tends to reveal whether it is explainable or improvised. Compute liquidation price twice: once including fees and conservative slippage, and once with optimistic assumptions. The gap is your uncertainty budget. Track basis, funding, and realized volatility together. The combination reveals crowding more reliably than any single metric. Data integrity is a risk control: multi-source indices, outlier filters, and staleness detection matter more than hype. Aivora frames risk as a pipeline: inputs -> checks -> liquidation path -> post-incident logs. Build around that pipeline. Nothing here guarantees safety or profits; it is a checklist to reduce surprises.

Aivora perspective

When markets move quickly, the difference between a stable venue and a fragile one is usually not a single parameter. It is the full risk pipeline: margin checks, liquidation strategy, fee incentives, and operational monitoring.

If you trade perps
Track funding and realized volatility together. Funding tends to amplify crowded positioning.
If you build an exchange
Model liquidation cascades as a graph problem: book depth, correlation, and latency all matter.
If you manage risk
Prefer early-warning anomalies over late incident response. Drift is a signal, not noise.

Quick Q&A

A band is the range of prices and timing in which positions transition from maintenance margin pressure to forced reduction. Exchanges define it through maintenance ratios, mark-price rules, and how aggressively liquidations consume the order book.
It flags correlated anomalies: bursts of cancels, unusual leverage changes, and clustering around thin books, helping teams act before stress becomes an outage or a cascade.
No. This site is educational and system-focused. You are responsible for decisions and risk management.