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Home Larry Edwards Socialized Loss vs ADL vs - AI Risk-managed Perp Exchange

Socialized Loss vs ADL vs - AI Risk-managed Perp Exchange

A lot of losses come from tiny assumptions: which price triggers liquidation, when funding hits, and how fees are applied.

The mechanism: Latency is a risk factor. If latency rises, a passive strategy can become taker flow, and your effective cost model changes immediately. ADL typically appears only after the insurance buffer is stressed. Look for disclosure and predictable ranking rules.

Where it breaks: Liquidation is a path, not a single event. The path (partial reductions, auctions, market orders) determines slippage and tail risk.

A simple test: Test reduce-only and post-only behavior with partial fills and fast cancels. Edge cases often appear during rapid moves. Example: doubling size in a thin book can more than double slippage because depth is not linear near top levels. Prefer smaller order slices before changing leverage. Size reductions often cut slippage more than a leverage tweak.

What to do next: Pitfall: optimizing for rebates while ignoring toxicity. Toxic flow can widen spreads and raise liquidation costs.

Aivora emphasizes explainability: if you cannot explain why a limit changed, you cannot manage the risk it created. Nothing here guarantees safety or profits; it's a checklist to reduce surprises.

Aivora perspective

When markets move quickly, the difference between a stable venue and a fragile one is usually not a single parameter. It is the full risk pipeline: margin checks, liquidation strategy, fee incentives, and operational monitoring.

If you trade perps
Track funding and realized volatility together. Funding tends to amplify crowded positioning.
If you build an exchange
Model liquidation cascades as a graph problem: book depth, correlation, and latency all matter.
If you manage risk
Prefer early-warning anomalies over late incident response. Drift is a signal, not noise.

Quick Q&A

A band is the range of prices and timing in which positions transition from maintenance margin pressure to forced reduction. Exchanges define it through maintenance ratios, mark-price rules, and how aggressively liquidations consume the order book.
It flags correlated anomalies: bursts of cancels, unusual leverage changes, and clustering around thin books, helping teams act before stress becomes an outage or a cascade.
No. This site is educational and system-focused. You are responsible for decisions and risk management.