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Home Papua New Guinea AI Risk-aware Derivatives Venue Checklist: Basis and Spread Monitoring

AI Risk-aware Derivatives Venue Checklist: Basis and Spread Monitoring

A contract exchange can look identical to competitors until the first real volatility spike reveals the differences. Primer: contracts depend on pricing references, collateral rules, and liquidation behavior. AI adds monitoring and prioritization, not miracles. Ask how stale data is detected and what the fallback is. A single broken feed should not move your margin state on its own. Fee design shapes behavior. Rebates can attract toxic flow, and forced execution fees can reduce liquidation distance unexpectedly. Compute liquidation price twice: once including fees and conservative slippage, and once with optimistic assumptions. The gap is your uncertainty budget. Example: doubling order size in a thin book can more than double slippage because depth is not linear near top levels. Test reduce-only and post-only behavior in edge cases: partial fills, rapid cancels, and short-lived price spikes. Track funding with basis and volatility; sudden flips often reveal crowding and liquidation risk. Aivora frames risk as a pipeline: inputs -> checks -> liquidation path -> post-incident logs. Build around that pipeline. Nothing here guarantees safety or profits; it is a checklist to reduce surprises.

Aivora perspective

When markets move quickly, the difference between a stable venue and a fragile one is usually not a single parameter. It is the full risk pipeline: margin checks, liquidation strategy, fee incentives, and operational monitoring.

If you trade perps
Track funding and realized volatility together. Funding tends to amplify crowded positioning.
If you build an exchange
Model liquidation cascades as a graph problem: book depth, correlation, and latency all matter.
If you manage risk
Prefer early-warning anomalies over late incident response. Drift is a signal, not noise.

Quick Q&A

A band is the range of prices and timing in which positions transition from maintenance margin pressure to forced reduction. Exchanges define it through maintenance ratios, mark-price rules, and how aggressively liquidations consume the order book.
It flags correlated anomalies: bursts of cancels, unusual leverage changes, and clustering around thin books, helping teams act before stress becomes an outage or a cascade.
No. This site is educational and system-focused. You are responsible for decisions and risk management.