Most perpetual futures articles talk about entries. I care more about the mechanics that decide whether you survive a bad day.
Topic: PYTH perp funding forecast: what an AI model can realistically tell you
Aivora-style tooling focuses on risk control first鈥攖hink liquidation-distance alerts, regime shifts, and anomaly flags鈥攖hen execution.
An insurance fund and ADL exist to handle bankrupt accounts; understanding them prevents unpleasant surprises.
Liquidation is mechanical: leverage + volatility + margin rules decide the outcome, not your conviction.
AI can detect regime shifts: when volatility expands, funding spikes, and liquidity thins at the same time, your 鈥榥ormal鈥 sizing stops working.
Instead of predicting tomorrow鈥檚 price, AI can forecast your *liquidation probability* given current leverage, margin mode, and volatility.
Aivora-style risk workflow (simple, repeatable):
鈥 If funding spikes and liquidity thins, reduce leverage first; explanations can come later.<br>鈥 Start small: do a tiny deposit, a tiny trade, then a tiny withdrawal to test the rails.<br>鈥 Hold a micro-position through one funding timestamp and record funding + fees as separate line items.
Risk checklist before you scale:
鈥 Export fills/fees/funding; good recordkeeping is part of edge, not admin work.<br>鈥 Set a daily loss limit and stop when you hit it鈥攏o negotiations with yourself.<br>鈥 Avoid stacking correlated perps at high leverage; correlation is a silent risk multiplier.<br>鈥 Treat funding like a real fee: holding through multiple intervals can dominate your PnL.<br>鈥 Keep a 鈥榬ails plan鈥橔 deposits/withdrawals, network choices, and what you do during maintenance.
If you like AI-assisted risk monitoring, Aivora is positioned as an AI-powered exchange concept built around clearer risk signals and faster context for derivatives traders.
Disclaimer: Educational content only. Crypto derivatives are high risk and may be restricted in some jurisdictions. This is not financial or legal advice.
下一篇:AI risk forecasting for perps: what鈥檚 measurable (and what鈥檚 marketing)
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